Fantasy Baseball Commerce Tracker: Josh Hader trades with Brewers; Park change may benefit Trey Mancini

The trading deadline is rapidly approaching and we could see a flurry of activity just before the clock strikes 6pm ET on Tuesday, Aug. 2. This is where we’ll break it all down. the most notable moves from a Fantasy Baseball perspective.

Christian Vazquez deals with the Astros

The Astros have gone the defensive route of playing cards over the past few years with Martin Maldonado and won’t lose much in that regard to Vazquez. However, they will be enhanced attack. Vazquez has recovered from a bad year to become the eighth-best catcher in both major scoring forms. Perhaps more interesting than his involvement in the deal is the prospect of Enmanuel Valdez going against it. The 5-foot-9 utility player has surprisingly performed between Double- and Triple-A this year, dropping .327 / .410 / .606 by 21 homes in 327 at-bats. His small stature and lack of defensive houses keep him low on traditional ranking lists, but he could be a surprise in Fantasy if given the chance to join the Tale of Wounded Trevor on Second Base .

Tommy Pham deals with the Red Sox

While he certainly doesn’t hit his 91st percentile average bounce rate or percentile hard hit rate, Pham has made strong enough contributions across the board to place 40th among the bridges. outstanding player in Head to Head tournaments and 35th in the Rotisserie. You might assume his home venue has something to do with it, but Pham just had slightly better numbers at Great American Ball Park than he did on the road. He could do better at Fenway Park, its odd configuration known for promoting the BABIP of celebrities, but chances are, his values ​​remain the same. Meanwhile, his departure gives the likes of Nick Senzel and Jake Fraley an easier path to the bats, but without some of the potential highlights waiting on the wings.

This seemingly low-key deal could actually have an impact in Fantasy given how consequential the park change is for Mancini’s hit in particular. He pulls the ball in the air more than the average hitter (about 25% of the time, according to FanGraphs), which will usually be a good indicator of strength, but Orioles have of course moved their left yard fence back this year. Meanwhile, Minute Maid Park is best known for its short porch in the left courtyard. The locations couldn’t be further apart for that yard fence – we’re talking tens of feet – and fittingly, Statcast shows Mancini will have more than twice as many home runs, 22 overall. , if he played all the games in Houston this year.

He won’t play all of His games in Houston even now, that’s remarkable, but he’ll play enough that he can be a top 40 quarterback moving forward.

Of course, stock up for Montas, who goes from the worst performing team in AL to the best performing team. As good as the rest of his stats line looks, it was his 4-9 record that made him only the 52nd best starting pitcher in the scoring leagues and the 46th best in 5×5. It could have been 9-4 if he had been with the Yankees from the start and I expect him to be a top 25 starting pitcher going forward. Of course, there’s also the issue of him going from one of the best pitcher’s parks to one of the worst, but that won’t affect him as much as you might believe. that his 5.01 line ERA. For a full explanation of why as well as an analysis of potential clients (namely Ken Waldichuk) going the other way, click here.

Hader will continue to do his job, just for a new team. The Padres are also competing as much as Brewer, so he still has plenty of savings as always. The bigger question is who is closing now for the Brewers. Rogers seemed like the easy choice, but Padres just kicked him out of the role after a bad month in July, during which he allowed 10 wins in 9 2/3 innings. So a better bet might be Devin Williams, long thought to be waiting closer to his Air Sphinx change (h/t @PitchingNinja) and occupation 14.7 K/9.

head shot

Because Rogers throws for and Williams is fore, it could turn out to be a platoon, but the Brewers will want to make sure Rogers is right before they go that route. We should all support Williams to claim this role outright. He’s potentially closer to the top three.

head shot

To bridge the talent gap between the two leftists, the Brewers also have Esteury Ruiz, Dinelson Lamet and prospect Robert Gasser. The most interesting of these names for the purposes of Fantasy is Ruiz, who gave out monster numbers to minors before being promoted just before the All-Star break, featured by 60 bases stolen in 77 games. He didn’t do much with the big club, and was in fact selected immediately by the Brewers. However, he could finally get the job at the center starting with Tyrone Taylor.

Castillo will get a significant park upgrade with this move, which you could argue makes less of a difference for a pitcher who consistently ranks among the top five in terms of ball-to-ground ratio. But Castillo has dimmed his sink in recent weeks to more four-lane players – a change that has yielded positive results overall, with his K/9 up from 7, 8 before May 31, when he first increased the use of four seams, to 10.1 . That has made him less ball-oriented, though, and related, he has an ERA of 3.64 at home this year compared to 2.09 on the road. So what does that mean, realistically speaking? Maybe we should treat Castillo like a top 20 starting pitcher in Fantasy again. For a more complete analysis of this agreement, click here.

Peralta has lost her everyday role with Diamondbacks, and that certainly won’t change with a team like the Rays. After all, he is hitting the ball 0.268 with 0.823 OPS against the right versus 0.114 with 0.462 OPS against the fore, which at least gives him some utility in the daily five-midfield tournaments. His acquisition means Josh Lowe is back in his teens, not a former top lead who contributed anything worthwhile. It also helps clear the way for potential Diamondbacks customer Corbin Carroll, but his chances of launching this year are remote.

This exchange could mean the Yankees are relinquishing Joey Gallo as a starting spotter, and things could tighten even further when Giancarlo Stanton returns from the game with Achilles tendonitis. So far, though, Benintendi looks like an everyday part of the squad, which has been starting to fend off a leftist since joining. He may serve in this year’s Fantasy because of his high polish average, but it’s even emptier than in previous years. Maybe now he’s putting in more effort to pull the ball, aiming for the short right field, but I’m not going to hold my breath with that.

Leave a Comment